Análisis de Bundesliga

Köln took six corners against Hoffenheim and eight at Stuttgart but lost the counts 6–7 and 8–10. Its own contribution was substantial; the problem was the opponent producing more. Hoffenheim reversed a 1–2 first-half deficit through six second-half corners, while Stuttgart took five in each half. A strong Köln attacking response did not suppress the opposing restarts.

Bremen and Hamburg were different. Köln won corners 8–5 and 5–3, with a positive contribution in each half. At Hamburg, 68% possession produced the smallest Köln count of these four matches, yet still a winning margin because Hamburg supplied only three. Against Stuttgart, the stronger eight-corner return was insufficient against ten. For the next matchup, a Köln corner advantage therefore depends as much on the opponent’s ability to generate restarts as on Köln’s own pressure. A prediction of high Köln possession or several corners does not by itself support a large margin; a side capable of a Hoffenheim-style second-half response can overturn an early edge.

Köln’s first halves against Stuttgart, Bremen and Hamburg produced eight, seven and five corners. Köln supplied three, four and three respectively, while each opponent added at least two. Hoffenheim was the lower-count exception at three combined corners, with Köln taking two and Hoffenheim one. The difference was a combination of Köln’s own slightly lower contribution and very little opposing restart production.

These counts did not simply follow early scoring. The Stuttgart and Hamburg halves had one goal each, as did the Hoffenheim half, yet the corner totals differed sharply. Bremen also reached seven corners despite only one goal and a saved Köln penalty. Stuttgart carried most of its high total through five corners, whereas Köln supplied the larger share against Bremen. For the next fixture, five first-half corners is better supported when Köln can maintain several restarts and the opponent has a credible contribution of its own. A forecast of goals, possession or a Köln attacking response alone does not establish that shared supply.